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中國消費結構性機會 2018-06-20
Apex Research
Chinese version only

儘管中國5月社會消費品零售總額同比增速放緩至8.5%,創下2003年5月以來的最低水平,家庭消費短期和長期趨勢仍然樂觀。兩條正在出現的趨勢為消費相關板塊帶來結構性機會。其一,人才爭奪政策刺激消費需求。其二,消費信心高企反映高端消費需求仍然強勁,消費者的不同偏好創造新į

台日股市抗跌力較強 2018-06-19
Investment Diary
Chinese version only

中美貿易戰陰霾再度升溫,在美國政府公佈對中國500億美元商品加徵額外關稅的清單後,中國政府立即發佈了同等規模、同等力度的反制措施,生效時間和美方一致。美國總統特朗普再指示美國貿易代表確定準備加徵10%關稅的2,000億美元中國商品,中國政府惟有應對。市場避險情緒高漲,

歐洲延續低利率環境 2018-06-19
Apex Research
Chinese version only

6月14日,歐洲央行進行議息會議,宣布資產購買計劃將於年底結束。同時,歐洲央行承諾2019年夏季之前不會加息,意味歐洲在未來一段較長的時間都會維持低利率環境。低利率環境有助歐元區經濟體面對區內外的不確定性因素。 議息會議顯鴿派 這次議息會議中,歐洲央行傳遞了三個新

藏茶篇(二十四) – 茶葉投資(三) 2018-06-19
Treasure Hunt
Chinese version only

普洱茶的投資竅門(II)   投資普洱茶當然是選擇生茶,而非人工熟成的普洱茶,其中等級最高的就是陳年普洱生茶餅,因為大部份都是依照古法工序製造的「普洱生餅」,生茶是沒有經過渥堆工序,所以需要長時間(至少七年或以上)自然陳化,由於陳化過程相比人工熟茶慢長,因此亦較Ġ

本月市況仍偏弱 2018-06-18
Micro Viewpoint
Chinese version only

美國及北韓經一番角力後終於在新加坡開展了歷史性的美朝峰會,雙方合演文戲,簽署聯合聲明。北韓會追求無核化,與美國重新建立關係,而美國承諾對北韓提供安全保證。   這項聲明背後意義是大家都放下身段,不再虛張聲勢也不再花錢射飛彈或者是軍演,而是各自可以和平地ţ

利淡因素湧現 美元平穩偏弱 2018-06-15
Apex Research
Chinese version only

四月中以來,美匯指數延續上漲趨勢。同時,亞太地區不同國家匯率全面變弱,部分央行更扭轉利率周期應對資金外流壓力。美元上升受短期因素干擾,中期仍可維持平穩偏弱的方向。美元上升受一系列宏觀事件驅動。今年第一季度歐元區、日本和中國製造業PMI指標預示其製造業動能

聯儲局加息顯示對經濟信心增加 2018-06-14
Investment Diary
Chinese version only

美國聯儲局結束一連兩日的議息會議,宣佈加息四分一厘,符合市場預期。議息聲明以及點陣圖顯示聯儲局對經濟的信心增加,反映近期環球政治局勢動盪並未有影響官員的加息決定,反而有助安撫市場情緒。   今次的議息聲明出現了不少改動是屬於偏鷹的訊號,包括聯儲局對美國Ł

波蘭經濟穩步向前 2018-06-14
Fund Talk
Chinese version only

自1990年以來, 波蘭奉行經濟自由化政策,由中央計劃經濟轉向市場經濟。在2008年至2009年的經濟減速期間, 波蘭是唯一一個避免經濟衰退的歐盟國家,部分原因是由於政府寬鬆的財政政策,加上承諾控制中期開支。 2008年至2016年,波蘭累計 GDP 增長 32.4%,在歐盟成員國中名列第三。安永會計師事務

消費股上漲的邏輯和持續性 2018-06-13
Apex Research
Chinese version only

自4月中中央重提「擴大內需」以來,筆者在本欄4月28日一文中提及煤改氣、工程機械增長的投資機會,這些板塊股價在5月份表現不俗。5月份,另一個板塊--消費股同樣表現領先。究竟消費股上漲的邏輯是什麼?消費股上漲是否具備持續性?在港股通範圍中,5月份非必需消費和必需消費ਖ਼

拉丁美洲市場 面對短期挑戰 2018-06-12
Investment Diary
Chinese version only

近期美國國債收益率攀升,美元強勢,新興市場的風險引起市場關注,除了阿根廷、土耳其等市場面臨危機外,新興市場貨幣如巴西雷亞爾、墨西哥披索、印度盧比、印尼盾等皆大幅貶值,股市亦下挫。其中,以美元計價的MSCI拉丁美洲指數由5月初以來已下跌超過15%,投資者關注跌勢何時

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